Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.091052 2.403708 2.750831 3.165432 3.648003 4.192969 4.856469
2025-05-04 1.646165 2.069932 2.587662 3.269675 4.148856 5.249915 6.742564
2025-05-11 1.375216 1.835740 2.435631 3.280167 4.447881 6.019169 8.316671
2025-05-18 1.187822 1.663583 2.316222 3.286089 4.706506 6.734965 9.894778
2025-05-25 1.019441 1.486310 2.155189 3.195754 4.796299 7.201748 11.160027
2025-06-01 0.923512 1.396489 2.101475 3.245224 5.085897 7.986578 13.011178
2025-06-08 0.850624 1.329720 2.070106 3.318507 5.413347 8.863339 15.133704
2025-06-15 0.775900 1.249721 2.006226 3.327225 5.630024 9.578990 17.082007
2025-06-22 0.697075 1.153298 1.903394 3.255303 5.695045 10.036228 18.627890
2025-06-29 0.634324 1.076271 1.823254 3.210453 5.797650 10.566398 20.381346
2025-07-06 0.576210 1.000753 1.736949 3.142775 5.846707 10.998524 22.001872
2025-07-13 0.559246 0.995580 1.773077 3.302527 6.342748 12.345244 25.688864
2025-07-20 0.513299 0.938304 1.718068 3.301958 6.564886 13.261949 28.817309
2025-07-27 0.484303 0.910378 1.716637 3.411117 7.037604 14.797463 33.696667
2025-08-03 0.447523 0.862716 1.670657 3.422095 7.303392 15.932301 37.889753
2025-08-10 0.414622 0.818602 1.625865 3.428293 7.558141 17.083959 42.375039
2025-08-17 0.375838 0.758056 1.540236 3.333751 7.569133 17.670763 45.552070
2025-08-24 0.354543 0.731265 1.521675 3.385524 7.929650 19.159427 51.465772
2025-08-31 0.337295 0.711037 1.514575 3.462223 8.362452 20.906068 58.514312
2025-09-07 0.316358 0.680419 1.480955 3.471348 8.627672 22.267541 64.779553
2025-09-14 0.291380 0.638133 1.416260 3.396072 8.663157 23.020203 69.389254
2025-09-21 0.270762 0.603611 1.365630 3.349135 8.766964 23.982361 74.905408
2025-09-28 0.250563 0.568005 1.308592 3.278310 8.794775 24.734159 79.931296